The read
HOLD. Low scoring due to game flow rather than talent. Potential for better performance in upcoming games.
Buy 1 · Hold 2 · Fade 0
Moderate agreement: 2 of 3 reads lean hold.
Geno Smith Dynasty Profile
Geno Smith plays QB for NYJ, with a market value of 1,495 and 17 fantasy points per game across 3 active games.
QB NYJ · Age 35 · NFL year 14
Market value
1,495 +46 / 30d
QB33 on the current board
Points per game
17.0
50.9 points · 3 active games
Last 4 active
17.0 0 PPG
Versus 17.0 season pace
Market edge
+15 Priced behind
QB18 production vs QB33 market
Market value · 90-day signal
Current value 1,495. The final 30-day move is +46.
The final 30 days use the verified market delta. Earlier points provide directional context and are not recorded daily history.
Market position
- Tier expectation
- +2.5 PPG vs Bench baseline
- Trade frequency
- 1.2% of tracked trades, 30 days
- 30-day move
- +46 (+3.2%)
- Board position
- QB33 market · QB18 production
The Dynalyze take
Recurring themes
- QB33 market rank versus QB18 production rank BUY 1 of 3 reads
- Last-four pace is 0 PPG versus season pace HOLD 2 of 3 reads
- Market value is essentially flat over 30 days (+46) HOLD 2 of 3 reads
The case
Bull case
- 50.9 points across 3 active games. box scores
- 17.0 PPG is +2.5 versus the current tier baseline. model
- QB18 production keeps the profile competitive at the position. model
Bear case
- Last-four pace is 0 PPG versus the season rate. box scores
- QB33 market rank versus QB18 production rank defines the price risk. market feed
- Risk of losing starting job late in season. Not ideal for best ball tournaments focused on week 17. High cap hit ($31 million) for a bridge QB. Uncertainty about long-term role. The role concern is high, so the price should leave room for that uncertainty. consensus
Roster fit
- Contenders should hold unless an offer clearly improves the weekly lineup. model
- Rebuilders should require liquidity, picks, or age insulation before moving below tier. model
- Offer discipline matters more than forcing action at the current signal strength. consensus
Comparable assets
Nearest QB assets by current market value.
| Player | Value | PPG | Market rank | Production rank | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 QB J.J. McCarthy |
1,501 | No sample | QB32 | Not ranked | Not set |
 QB Kirk Cousins |
1,467 | 19.7 | QB34 | QB10 | +24 |
 QB Jacoby Brissett |
1,525 | 16.5 | QB31 | QB19 | +12 |