The read
HOLD. Darnold's real-life performance metrics are strong and stable. Touchdown regression suggests upside for fantasy scoring improvement.
Buy 0 · Hold 3 · Fade 0
Strong agreement: 3 of 3 reads lean hold.
Sam Darnold Dynasty Profile
Sam Darnold plays QB for SEA, with a market value of 2,880 and 14.7 fantasy points per game across 17 active games.
QB SEA · Age 29 · NFL year 9
Market value
2,880 +47 / 30d
QB22 on the current board
Points per game
14.7
249.4 points · 17 active games
Last 4 active
12.2 -2.5 PPG
Versus 14.7 season pace
Market edge
0 In line
QB24 production vs QB22 market
Market value · 90-day signal
Current value 2,880. The final 30-day move is +47.
The final 30 days use the verified market delta. Earlier points provide directional context and are not recorded daily history.
Market position
- Tier expectation
- -2.3 PPG vs Flex baseline
- Trade frequency
- 0.9% of tracked trades, 30 days
- 30-day move
- +47 (+1.7%)
- Board position
- QB22 market · QB24 production
The Dynalyze take
Recurring themes
- QB22 market rank versus QB24 production rank HOLD 3 of 3 reads
- Last-four pace is -2.5 PPG versus season pace HOLD 3 of 3 reads
- Market value is essentially flat over 30 days (+47) HOLD 3 of 3 reads
The case
Bull case
- 249.4 points across 17 active games. box scores
- 14.7 PPG is -2.3 versus the current tier baseline. model
- QB24 production keeps the profile competitive at the position. model
Bear case
- Last-four pace is -2.5 PPG versus the season rate. box scores
- QB22 market rank versus QB24 production rank defines the price risk. market feed
- Not an elite quarterback. Not a league-winning QB but a stable starter. consensus
Roster fit
- Contenders should hold unless an offer clearly improves the weekly lineup. model
- Rebuilders should require liquidity, picks, or age insulation before moving below tier. model
- Offer discipline matters more than forcing action at the current signal strength. consensus
Comparable assets
Nearest QB assets by current market value.
| Player | Value | PPG | Market rank | Production rank | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 QB Kyler Murray |
2,821 | 16.2 | QB23 | QB27 | -1 |
 QB Matthew Stafford |
2,806 | 21.1 | QB24 | QB3 | +3 |
 QB Bryce Young |
2,665 | 14.3 | QB25 | QB23 | +0 |