The read
WATCH. Week 1 was below expectations but matchup and team improvements suggest rebound potential. Volume and coaching changes support a buy stance.
Buy 0 · Hold 1 · Fade 2
Moderate agreement: 2 of 3 reads lean fade.
Justin Herbert Dynasty Profile
Justin Herbert plays QB for LAC, with a market value of 4,372 and 12.6 fantasy points per game across 3 active games.
QB LAC · Age 28 · NFL year 7
Market value
4,372 -1255 / 30d
QB13 on the current board
Points per game
12.6
37.9 points · 3 active games
Last 4 active
12.6 0 PPG
Versus 12.6 season pace
Market edge
-16 Priced ahead
QB29 production vs QB13 market
Market value · 90-day signal
Current value 4,372. The final 30-day move is -1,255.
The final 30 days use the verified market delta. Earlier points provide directional context and are not recorded daily history.
Market position
- Tier expectation
- -8.4 PPG vs Tier1 baseline
- Trade frequency
- 1.3% of tracked trades, 30 days
- 30-day move
- -1255 (-22.3%)
- Board position
- QB13 market · QB29 production
The Dynalyze take
Recurring themes
- QB13 market rank versus QB29 production rank FADE 2 of 3 reads
- Last-four pace is 0 PPG versus season pace HOLD 1 of 3 reads
- Market value moved -1255 over 30 days FADE 2 of 3 reads
The case
Bull case
- 37.9 points across 3 active games. box scores
- 12.6 PPG is -8.4 versus the current tier baseline. model
- QB29 production keeps the profile competitive at the position. model
Bear case
- Last-four pace is 0 PPG versus the season rate. box scores
- QB13 market rank versus QB29 production rank defines the price risk. market feed
- Week one was mostly losing with only 27 attempts. Offensive line struggles could limit upside. MVP odds are long (+1100). Competition at QB MVP is strong. consensus
Roster fit
- Contenders should hold unless an offer clearly improves the weekly lineup. model
- Rebuilders should require liquidity, picks, or age insulation before moving below tier. model
- Offer discipline matters more than forcing action at the current signal strength. consensus
Comparable assets
Nearest QB assets by current market value.
| Player | Value | PPG | Market rank | Production rank | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 QB Jaxson Dart |
4,493 | 13.7 | QB12 | QB31 | -19 |
 QB Tyler Shough |
4,500 | 24.1 | QB11 | QB3 | +8 |
 QB Bo Nix |
4,210 | 15.6 | QB14 | QB20 | -6 |